Blog entry by Lucio Herz

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Fact-Checking: We investigated this insurance claim and located a post titled "Pendeta Ini Menangis Saat Tahu Anies Baswedan Beri IMB ke Gereja yang Sudah 40 Tahun Tak Dapat Izin" on Wartaekonomi.co.id. This short article was released on March 10, 2023.

During the governmental debate hung on Tuesday, December 12, 2023, governmental candidate Prabowo Subianto reviewed the complex concern of managing disputes in Papua. Prabowo recognized that taking care of Papua is a difficult issue with foreign disturbance and stressed the importance of civils rights (PORK) as the main concern, focusing on the protection of individuals.

According to Ganjar Pranowo, the options recommended by Prabowo are not adequate. Ganjar revealed his point of view that discussion is important to combine all stakeholders to attend to the concern efficiently.

Ganjar's statement during the argument was as adheres to: "In my point of view, Mr. Prabowo, it doesn't appear to be enough. Discussion is something important to make sure that all events can sit with each other, as it is the root of the trouble. Do you agree with the discussion design I am recommending?"

In enhancement to his response throughout the dispute, Ganjar Pranowo additionally shared his experiences from his campaign path with his running mate, Mahfud Md. They started a trip from the easternmost point in Sabang to Merauke in the west, intending to listen to and observe the hopes and demands of individuals.

Ganjar revealed his commitment to boosting all public centers, from medical care to education and learning, based on the aspirations and comments received during their project. Ganjar pledged to apply a program of one healthcare employee per village to address such obstacles.

Ganjar Pranowo discussed an issue discovered during their see to Sabang, where they located that instructors were not obtaining sufficient interest and assistance from the federal government. He highlighted the demand for enhanced attention and support in this field.

In verdict, Ganjar Pranowo replied to Prabowo Subianto's technique to taking care of the Papua conflict by highlighting the importance of discussion and expressed his commitment to addressing numerous public worries, particularly in medical care and education and learning, based upon his campaign experiences.

Andreas Nuryono, the Exec Director of New Indonesia Research & Consulting, stated in his statement that the Prabowo-Gibran duo holds a considerable lead over the other two pairs of governmental candidates in a simulation including three prospect pairs. Pair number three, Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md, safeguarded 26.0% of the assistance. Set number one, Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar, garnered only 15.3%, with 8.2% responding as uncertain.

He noted a considerable shift in the past three months, leading up to the presidential race tightening down to three pairs of prospects. In the September study, Prabowo's electability had not yet gotten to 40% in a simulation entailing three presidential prospects.

As we approach completion of 2023, the electability of the presidential and vice-presidential candidate pair second, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka, has gone beyond 50%, according to the most recent survey by New Indonesia Research & Consulting, launched on Friday, December 8, 2023.

Andreas Nuryono, the Exec Director of New Indonesia Study & Consulting, mentioned in his statement that the Prabowo-Gibran duo holds a significant lead over the other 2 pairs of presidential prospects in a simulation entailing 3 prospect sets. Pair number 3, Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md, safeguarded 26.0% of the support. Set number one, Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar, gathered just 15.3%, with 8.2% reacting as uncertain.

" With an electability of 50.5%, the Prabowo-Gibran pair is anticipated to win the governmental election in a single round," stated Andreas Nuryono in his launch, as reported by Antara.

Therefore, Andreas proceeded, it is very likely that the 2024 presidential election will be decided in simply one round. He noted a considerable shift in the previous 3 months, leading up to the presidential race tightening down to three pairs of prospects. In the September survey, Prabowo's electability had actually not yet reached 40% in a simulation entailing 3 governmental candidates.

After being coupled with Gibran, the eldest child of Head of state Joko Widodo (Jokowi), assistance for Prabowo has actually risen. On the other hand, Ganjar and Anies saw their electability drop, returning to simulations with numerous presidential candidates. "The selection of the vice-presidential number dramatically increased Prabowo's electability, instead of Ganjar or Anies," explained Andreas.

The New Indonesia Study & Consulting study was conducted from November 25 to 30, 2023, entailing 1,200 respondents representing all districts. The survey utilized multistage arbitrary sampling, with a margin of mistake of ± 2.89% and a 95% confidence level.

Prabowo-Gibran Leads in Polstat Study: 43.5%, Ganjar-Mahfud 27.2%, Anies-Cak Imin 25.8%.

Previously, the Political Statistics (Polstat) Indonesia survey company likewise released their most current study searchings for pertaining to the electability of presidential and vice-presidential candidates 2 months before the 2024 political election.

One intriguing finding from the Polstat survey is that in spite of a month of objection and distributing problems, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka's electability remains unshaken. The set, regarded by the public to have obtained full endorsement from Head of state Jokowi, is getting also much more popularity.

This is one of the conclusions from the Polstat Indonesia study, carried out from November 27 to December 2013 across all 38 provinces in the Republic of Indonesia.

" When Polstat Indonesia asked respondents which pair they would select if the election were held today, 43.5% of participants said they would elect Prabowo-Gibran," stated Apna Permana, Supervisor of Research at Polstat Indonesia.

On the other hand, both that has actually recently had a tendency to take an opposite position to the government, Ganjar-Mahfud, is encountering a decline in appeal, with just 27.2% of participants picking them.

Anies-Cak Imin, on the other hand, amassed an electability of 25.8%, closely approaching Ganjar-Mahfud's placement. Only 3.5% of participants stayed unsure.

The survey's populace consisted of all Indonesian citizens aged 17 and over that had a Digital Identity Card (E-KTP). A sample dimension of 1,200 participants was obtained via a multi-stage random sampling method.

The margin of error was +/- 2.8%, with a self-confidence level of 95%. Data collection was carried out through straight in person interviews with participants utilizing questionnaires.

Disbelief in Surveys: TKN Chairman Believes Ganjar-Mahfud Will Win 54% in the 2024 Presidential Election.

Chairman of the National Winning Group (TPN) for Ganjar-Mahfud, Arsjad Rasjid, urged all volunteer advocates of the 3rd pair of presidential and vice-presidential prospects not to believe the study results. He shared self-confidence that Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md would win with 54% of the enact the 2024 governmental political election, surpassing various other candidates with high electability.

" We have a target; we should continue to be optimistic concerning winning 54%. Don't rely on the numbers; don't be dissuaded by the figures," stated Arsjad throughout his speech at the progressive declaration event for Ganjar-Mahfud on Friday, December 8, 2023.

He shared a story about Ganjar's advocate Governor of Central Java, where Ganjar originally had low survey numbers compared to his opponent. Nevertheless, Ganjar took care of to become the winner.

" When Mas Ganjar started his advocate guv, his numbers went to 8%, while Pak Bibit [his opponent] was already at 30%. In the end, Mas Ganjar came to be the guv," Arsjad specified.

Arsjad called upon all volunteers to work together and creatively to make certain Ganjar-Mahfud's victory in a solitary round in the 2024 presidential political election.

" We have to believe that we can win; winning in one round is our objective. It's my target, your target, and our shared target," Arsjad stressed.

He highlighted the minimal time left for campaigning, with just 66 days continuing to be. He urged everybody to move forward with unity and creative thinking.

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