Blog entry by Lea Bertles
As we approach the end of 2023, the electability of the governmental and vice-presidential prospect pair number two, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka, has gone beyond 50%, according to the current survey by New Indonesia Research & Consulting, released on Friday, December 8, 2023.
Andreas Nuryono, the Exec Supervisor of New Indonesia Study & Consulting, stated in his statement that the Prabowo-Gibran duo holds a significant lead over the other two sets of presidential candidates in a simulation entailing 3 candidate sets. Set number three, Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md, protected 26.0% of the support. Set number one, Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar, garnered only 15.3%, with 8.2% reacting as unsure.
" With an electability of 50.5%, the Prabowo-Gibran set is anticipated to win the presidential election in a solitary round," specified Andreas Nuryono in his release, as reported by Antara.
Thus, Andreas continued, it is highly likely that the 2024 governmental political election will be made a decision in simply one round. He noted a substantial change in the past three months, leading up to the governmental race limiting to 3 sets of prospects. In the September survey, Prabowo's electability had actually not yet reached 40% in a simulation involving 3 presidential prospects.
After being coupled with Gibran, the eldest son of President Joko Widodo (Jokowi), support for Prabowo has actually surged. Conversely, Ganjar and Anies saw their electability drop, returning to simulations with several presidential prospects. "The selection of the vice-presidential number substantially boosted Prabowo's electability, instead of Ganjar or Anies," clarified Andreas.
The New Indonesia Study & Consulting study was performed from November 25 to 30, 2023, entailing 1,200 respondents standing for all districts. The survey used multistage random tasting, with a margin of mistake of ± 2.89% and a 95% confidence level.
Prabowo-Gibran Leads in Polstat Study: 43.5%, Ganjar-Mahfud 27.2%, Anies-Cak Imin 25.8%.
Formerly, the Political Data (Polstat) Indonesia survey company likewise launched their latest study findings concerning the electability of presidential and vice-presidential candidates 2 months prior to the 2024 political election.
One interesting finding from the Polstat study is that despite a month of objection and circulating problems, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka's electability stays unshaken. The set, perceived by the public to have gotten complete endorsement from Head of state Jokowi, is acquiring also much more popularity.
This is among the verdicts from the Polstat Indonesia study, carried out from November 27 to December 2013 throughout all 38 provinces in the Republic of Indonesia.
" When Polstat Indonesia asked participants which pair they would certainly choose if the election were held today, 43.5% of participants stated they would vote for Prabowo-Gibran," stated Apna Permana, Director of Study at Polstat Indonesia.
The pair that has actually lately had a tendency to take a rival stance to the government, Ganjar-Mahfud, is dealing with a decline in popularity, with just 27.2% of respondents choosing them.
Anies-Cak Imin, on the other hand, amassed an electability of 25.8%, carefully approaching Ganjar-Mahfud's placement. Only 3.5% of participants stayed unsure.
The study's populace included all Indonesian residents aged 17 and over who had an Electronic Identity Card (E-KTP). A sample dimension of 1,200 respondents was gotten via a multi-stage arbitrary tasting strategy.
The margin of error was +/- 2.8%, with a self-confidence level of 95%. Data collection was conducted through direct in person meetings with respondents making use of questionnaires.
Shock in Studies: TKN Chairman Believes Ganjar-Mahfud Will Win 54% in the 2024 Presidential Election.
Chairman of the National Winning Group (TPN) for Ganjar-Mahfud, Arsjad Rasjid, urged all volunteer fans of the third pair of governmental and vice-presidential prospects not to think the survey results. He shared self-confidence that Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md would certainly win with 54% of the ballot in the 2024 presidential election, going beyond various other candidates with high electability.
" We have a target; we should continue to be positive regarding winning 54%. Don't rely on the numbers; do not be discouraged by the numbers," said Arsjad during his speech at the progressive affirmation occasion for Ganjar-Mahfud on Friday, December 8, 2023.
He shared a tale about Ganjar's advocate Governor of Central Java, where Ganjar initially had low study numbers contrasted to his challenger. Nevertheless, Ganjar handled to become the winner.
" When Mas Ganjar started his advocate governor, his numbers were at 8%, while Pak Bibit [his challenger] was currently at 30%. In the end, Mas Ganjar ended up being the governor," Arsjad stated.
Therefore, Arsjad called upon all volunteers to interact and artistically to ensure Ganjar-Mahfud's success in a single round in the 2024 governmental election.
" We should think that we can win; winning in one round is our objective. It's my target, your target, and our shared target," Arsjad stressed.
He highlighted the limited time left for marketing, with only 66 days continuing to be. If you have any type of questions relating to where and exactly how to make use of kpps 2024, liputan6.Com,, you can contact us at our website. He advised everybody to move forward with unity and imagination.