Blog entry by Shelly Stoddard
As we approach the end of 2023, the electability of the governmental and vice-presidential prospect set second, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka, has actually surpassed 50%, according to the latest survey by New Indonesia Research & Consulting, released on Friday, December 8, 2023.
Andreas Nuryono, the Exec Supervisor of New Indonesia Study & Consulting, mentioned in his news that the Prabowo-Gibran duo holds a significant lead over the other two sets of presidential candidates in a simulation including 3 candidate sets. Set number 3, Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md, secured 26.0% of the support. At the same time, set number one, Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar, garnered only 15.3%, with 8.2% reacting as undecided.
" With an electability of 50.5%, the Prabowo-Gibran pair is anticipated to win the presidential election in a single round," stated Andreas Nuryono in his release, as reported by Antara.
Therefore, Andreas continued, it is highly most likely that the 2024 governmental election will be decided in simply one round. He noted a significant change in the past 3 months, leading up to the governmental race tightening down to three sets of candidates. In the September survey, Prabowo's electability had not yet reached 40% in a simulation involving three governmental prospects.
After being matched with Gibran, the eldest kid of President Joko Widodo (Jokowi), assistance for Prabowo has actually surged. On the other hand, Ganjar and Anies saw their electability decline, returning to simulations with multiple governmental prospects. "The option of the vice-presidential number dramatically boosted Prabowo's electability, rather than Ganjar or Anies," clarified Andreas.
The New Indonesia Study & Consulting study was performed from November 25 to 30, 2023, involving 1,200 participants standing for all provinces. The study utilized multistage random sampling, with a margin of error of ± 2.89% and a 95% confidence level.
Prabowo-Gibran Leads in Polstat Study: 43.5%, Ganjar-Mahfud 27.2%, Anies-Cak Imin 25.8%.
Previously, the Political Data (Polstat) Indonesia study firm likewise released their most recent study findings concerning the electability of governmental and vice-presidential candidates two months prior If you have any type of inquiries pertaining to where and ways to use anggota Kpps pemilu 2024, you can contact us at our own page. to the 2024 political election.
One interesting finding from the Polstat study is that regardless of a month of criticism and distributing concerns, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka's electability continues to be resolute. The set, perceived by the public to have actually obtained complete endorsement from President Jokowi, is getting also much more appeal.
This is among the conclusions from the Polstat Indonesia survey, conducted from November 27 to December 2013 throughout all 38 districts in the Republic of Indonesia.
" When Polstat Indonesia asked respondents which couple they would pick if the political election were held today, 43.5% of participants stated they would elect Prabowo-Gibran," stated Apna Permana, Supervisor of Research at Polstat Indonesia.
On the other hand, the pair that has recently had a tendency to take a rival position to the federal government, Ganjar-Mahfud, is facing a decline in popularity, with just 27.2% of respondents choosing them.
Anies-Cak Imin, on the various other hand, amassed an electability of 25.8%, closely coming close to Ganjar-Mahfud's position. Only 3.5% of participants continued to be undecided.
The survey's population consisted of all Indonesian people aged 17 and above who had an Electronic Identification Card (E-KTP). An example size of 1,200 participants was gotten with a multi-stage random sampling strategy.
The margin of mistake was +/- 2.8%, with a confidence level of 95%. Information collection was performed via direct in person meetings with respondents making use of surveys.
Shock in Surveys: TKN Chairman Thinks Ganjar-Mahfud Will Win 54% in the 2024 Presidential Political election.
Chairman of the National Winning Team (TPN) for Ganjar-Mahfud, Arsjad Rasjid, prompted all volunteer fans of the third set of governmental and vice-presidential candidates not to believe the survey results. He revealed confidence that Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md would win with 54% of the vote in the 2024 governmental election, going beyond other prospects with high electability.
" We have a target; we should remain confident about winning 54%. Don't rely on the numbers; don't be dissuaded by the figures," stated Arsjad during his speech at the dynamic declaration event for Ganjar-Mahfud on Friday, December 8, 2023.
He shared a tale concerning Ganjar's advocate Governor of Central Java, where Ganjar initially had low study numbers contrasted to his challenger. Ganjar took care of to emerge as the champion.
" When Mas Ganjar started his campaign for guv, his numbers were at 8%, while Pak Bibit [his opponent] was already at 30%. But ultimately, Mas Ganjar ended up being the governor," Arsjad specified.
Therefore, Arsjad hired all volunteers to interact and artistically to ensure Ganjar-Mahfud's success in a single round in the 2024 presidential political election.
" We should believe that we can win; winning in one round is our objective. It's my target, your target, and our shared target," Arsjad highlighted.
He highlighted the limited time left for marketing, with just 66 days remaining. As a result, he prompted every person to move on with unity and imagination.