Blog entry by Shelly Mei

รูปภาพของShelly Mei
โดย Shelly Mei - เสาร์, 30 ธันวาคม 2023, 3:21AM
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Anies discussed that Prabowo himself has actually stated that running out power makes it challenging to take part in service and various other endeavors, which is why some people prefer to be in positions of power.

As we approach the end of 2023, the electability of the presidential and vice-presidential candidate pair second, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka, has actually exceeded 50%, according to the current survey by New Indonesia Research Study & Consulting, released on Friday, December 8, 2023.

Andreas Nuryono, the Executive Director of New Indonesia Study & Consulting, specified in his statement that the Prabowo-Gibran duo holds a substantial lead over the various other two sets of presidential candidates in a simulation involving three candidate pairs. Set number 3, Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md, protected 26.0% of the assistance. Meanwhile, set top, Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar, gathered only 15.3%, with 8.2% reacting as undecided.

" With an electability of 50.5%, the Prabowo-Gibran set is anticipated to win the governmental political election in a single round," mentioned Andreas Nuryono in his launch, as reported by Antara.

Thus, Andreas proceeded, it is highly most likely that the 2024 presidential political election will certainly be decided in just one round. He kept in mind a significant shift in the previous 3 months, leading up to the governmental race tightening down to 3 pairs of candidates. In the September study, Prabowo's electability had not yet reached 40% in a simulation including 3 presidential prospects.

After being coupled with Gibran, the eldest son of Head of state Joko Widodo (Jokowi), support for Prabowo has actually surged. Alternatively, Ganjar and Anies saw their electability decline, returning to simulations with multiple governmental candidates. "The option of the vice-presidential number considerably enhanced Prabowo's electability, instead of Ganjar or Anies," clarified Andreas.

The New Indonesia Study & Consulting study was performed from November 25 to 30, 2023, entailing 1,200 participants representing all provinces. The study employed multistage arbitrary tasting, with a margin of mistake of ± 2.89% and a 95% confidence level.

Prabowo-Gibran Leads in Polstat Survey: 43.5%, Ganjar-Mahfud 27.2%, Anies-Cak Imin 25.8%.

Formerly, the Political Data (Polstat) Indonesia study company additionally released their newest study findings relating to the electability of presidential and vice-presidential candidates 2 months prior to the 2024 political election.

One fascinating finding from the Polstat survey is that in spite of a month of criticism and distributing problems, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka's electability continues to be unshaken. The set, regarded by the public to have actually received complete endorsement from President Jokowi, is getting also extra appeal.

This is just one of the conclusions from the Polstat Indonesia study, conducted from November 27 to December 2013 across all 38 districts in the Republic of Indonesia.

" When Polstat Indonesia asked respondents which pair they would select if the political election were held today, 43.5% of respondents said they would certainly vote for Prabowo-Gibran," claimed Apna Permana, Director of Research Study at Polstat Indonesia.

The pair that has just recently often tended to take an opposite position to the government, Ganjar-Mahfud, is facing a decrease in popularity, with just 27.2% of respondents selecting them.

Anies-Cak Imin, on the various other hand, amassed an electability of 25.8%, closely approaching Ganjar-Mahfud's setting. Just 3.5% of participants continued to be uncertain.

The survey's population included all Indonesian citizens aged 17 and over that had a Digital Identification Card (E-KTP). A sample dimension of 1,200 respondents was obtained with a multi-stage arbitrary tasting strategy.

The margin of error was +/- 2.8%, with a self-confidence level of 95%. Information collection was carried out through straight in person interviews with respondents utilizing surveys.

Disbelief in Surveys: TKN Chairman Believes Ganjar-Mahfud Will Win 54% in the 2024 Presidential Political election.

Chairman of the National Winning Team (TPN) for Ganjar-Mahfud, Arsjad Rasjid, urged all volunteer supporters of the third set of presidential and vice-presidential candidates not to believe the study results. He shared confidence that Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md would certainly win with 54% of the ballot in the 2024 governmental political election, going beyond other candidates with high electability.

" We have a target; we need to stay optimistic about winning 54%. Don't think in the numbers; do not be inhibited by the numbers," stated Arsjad throughout his speech at the dynamic declaration event for Ganjar-Mahfud on Friday, December 8, 2023.

He shared a story concerning Ganjar's project for Governor of Central Java, where Ganjar originally had reduced study numbers contrasted to his challenger. However, Ganjar managed to arise as the champion.

In the end, Mas Ganjar ended up being the guv," Arsjad stated.

Arsjad called upon all volunteers to function together and creatively to guarantee Ganjar-Mahfud's triumph in a single round in the 2024 governmental election.

" We have to believe that we can win; winning in one round is our goal. It's my target, your target, and our shared target," Arsjad highlighted.

He highlighted the limited time left for campaigning, with just 66 days staying. He advised every person to move onward with unity and creative thinking.

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