Blog entry by Shelly Stoddard

รูปภาพของShelly Stoddard
โดย Shelly Stoddard - อาทิตย์, 31 ธันวาคม 2023, 3:51AM
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As we come close to the end of 2023, the electability of the presidential and vice-presidential prospect pair number two, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka, has gone beyond 50%, according to the current survey by New Indonesia Study & Consulting, released on Friday, December 8, 2023.

Andreas Nuryono, the Executive Supervisor of New Indonesia Study & Consulting, specified in his announcement that the Prabowo-Gibran duo holds a considerable lead over the other 2 pairs of presidential candidates in a simulation involving three prospect pairs. Pair number three, Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md, safeguarded 26.0% of the support. Set number one, Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar, amassed only 15.3%, with 8.2% responding as uncertain.

" With an electability of 50.5%, the Prabowo-Gibran pair is forecasted to win the governmental political election in a solitary round," mentioned Andreas Nuryono in his launch, as reported by Antara.

Thus, Andreas continued, it is very likely that the 2024 governmental political election will be chosen in just one round. He kept in mind a considerable shift in the past three months, leading up to the presidential race limiting to 3 pairs of prospects. In the September survey, Prabowo's electability had not yet reached 40% in a simulation entailing three governmental candidates.

After being combined with Gibran, the oldest boy of President Joko Widodo (Jokowi), assistance for Prabowo has actually risen. Conversely, Ganjar and Anies saw their electability decline, going back to simulations with several presidential prospects. "The option of the vice-presidential number dramatically enhanced Prabowo's electability, as opposed to Ganjar or Anies," clarified Andreas.

The New Indonesia Research & Consulting study was conducted from November 25 to 30, 2023, involving 1,200 respondents standing for all districts. The survey utilized multistage arbitrary sampling, with a margin of mistake of ± 2.89% and a 95% self-confidence level.

Prabowo-Gibran Leads in Polstat Study: 43.5%, Ganjar-Mahfud 27.2%, Anies-Cak Imin 25.8%.

Formerly, the Political Statistics (Polstat) Indonesia survey agency likewise launched their most current survey searchings for concerning the electability of presidential and vice-presidential prospects 2 months prior to the 2024 election.

One fascinating searching for from the Polstat study is that in spite of a month of criticism and circulating problems, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka's electability remains resolute. As a matter of fact, the pair, perceived by the public to have received complete endorsement from President Jokowi, is acquiring also much more appeal.

This is among the final thoughts from the Polstat Indonesia survey, conducted from November 27 to December 2013 throughout all 38 provinces in the Republic of Indonesia.

" When Polstat Indonesia asked respondents which match they would choose if the political election were held today, 43.5% of participants stated they would certainly vote for Prabowo-Gibran," claimed Apna Permana, Director of Research Study at Polstat Indonesia.

The pair that has actually lately had a tendency to take an opposite stance to the government, Ganjar-Mahfud, is encountering a decline in popularity, with just 27.2% of respondents choosing them.

Anies-Cak Imin, on the other hand, gathered an electability of 25.8%, very closely coming close to Ganjar-Mahfud's placement. Only 3.5% of participants stayed uncertain.

The survey's population included all Indonesian people aged 17 and above who had a Digital Identification Card (E-KTP). A sample size of 1,200 participants was gotten with a multi-stage random tasting technique.

The margin of mistake was +/- 2.8%, with a self-confidence degree of 95%. Information collection was carried out with straight in person meetings with participants making use of sets of questions.

Shock in Surveys: TKN Chairman Thinks Ganjar-Mahfud Will Win 54% in the 2024 Presidential Political election.

Chairman of the National Winning Team (TPN) for Ganjar-Mahfud, Arsjad Rasjid, advised all volunteer advocates of the 3rd pair of presidential and vice-presidential candidates not to believe the survey results. He revealed self-confidence that Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md would win with 54% of the ballot in the 2024 governmental election, going beyond various other prospects with high electability.

" We have a target; we need to remain positive concerning winning 54%. Do not count on the numbers; don't be discouraged by the numbers," said Arsjad during his speech at the progressive declaration event for Ganjar-Mahfud on Friday, December 8, 2023.

He shared a tale about Ganjar's campaign for Governor of Central Java, where Ganjar originally had reduced survey numbers contrasted to his challenger. Nevertheless, Ganjar managed to become the victor.

" When Mas Ganjar started his project for governor, his numbers went to 8%, while Pak Bibit [his opponent] was already at 30%. In the end, Mas Ganjar came to be the governor," Arsjad specified.

Arsjad called upon all volunteers to work with each other and creatively to guarantee Ganjar-Mahfud's triumph in a single round in the 2024 presidential political election.

" We need to believe that we can win; winning in one round is our goal. It's my target, your target, and our shared target," Arsjad highlighted.

He highlighted the minimal time left for campaigning, with just 66 days remaining. For that reason, he urged every person to progress with unity and creativity.

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