Blog entry by Rafaela Armer

รูปภาพของRafaela Armer
โดย Rafaela Armer - อาทิตย์, 31 ธันวาคม 2023, 6:08AM
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As we come close to the end of 2023, the electability of the presidential and vice-presidential prospect set number 2, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka, has surpassed 50%, according to the most recent study by New Indonesia Study & Consulting, released on Friday, December 8, 2023.

Andreas Nuryono, the Executive Director of New Indonesia Research Study & Consulting, specified in his statement that the Prabowo-Gibran duo holds a significant lead over the various other two sets of presidential prospects in a simulation involving three candidate sets. Pair number three, Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md, safeguarded 26.0% of the assistance. Set number one, Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar, amassed only 15.3%, with 8.2% reacting as undecided.

" With an electability of 50.5%, the Prabowo-Gibran pair is forecasted to win the governmental election in a single round," stated Andreas Nuryono in his launch, as reported by Antara.

Hence, Andreas proceeded, it is highly likely that the 2024 presidential election will be chosen in just one round. He noted a substantial shift in the past three months, leading up to the presidential race limiting to three sets of prospects. In the September study, Prabowo's electability had not yet reached 40% in a simulation entailing three governmental prospects.

After being coupled with Gibran, the eldest kid of President Joko Widodo (Jokowi), support for Prabowo has actually risen. On the other hand, Ganjar and Anies saw their electability decline, going back to simulations with numerous presidential candidates. "The choice of the vice-presidential number substantially increased Prabowo's electability, as opposed to Ganjar or Anies," clarified Andreas.

The New Indonesia Study & Consulting study was carried out from November 25 to 30, 2023, entailing 1,200 participants standing for all provinces. The study utilized multistage random sampling, with a margin of mistake of ± 2.89% and a 95% self-confidence degree.

Prabowo-Gibran Leads in Polstat Study: 43.5%, Ganjar-Mahfud 27.2%, Anies-Cak Imin 25.8%.

Previously, the Political Stats (Polstat) Indonesia study firm likewise released their latest survey findings relating to the electability of presidential and vice-presidential candidates 2 months prior to the 2024 political election.

One fascinating searching for from the Polstat study is that in spite of a month of criticism and distributing issues, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka's electability remains unshaken. The set, viewed by the public to have gotten full endorsement from President Jokowi, is getting also a lot more appeal.

This is one of the final thoughts from the Polstat Indonesia study, conducted from November 27 to December 2013 throughout all 38 provinces in the Republic of Indonesia.

" When Polstat Indonesia asked participants which combine they would certainly select if the election were held today, 43.5% of participants claimed they would choose Prabowo-Gibran," stated Apna Permana, Supervisor of Research at Polstat Indonesia.

Meanwhile, both that has just recently had a tendency to take an opposite stance to the government, Ganjar-Mahfud, For those who have any inquiries concerning exactly where along with how to use pemilu adalah (www.liputan6.com), it is possible to contact us at our page. is dealing with a decline in appeal, with just 27.2% of participants choosing them.

Anies-Cak Imin, on the various other hand, gathered an electability of 25.8%, very closely coming close to Ganjar-Mahfud's position. Only 3.5% of participants stayed uncertain.

The study's populace included all Indonesian residents aged 17 and over who possessed a Digital Identification Card (E-KTP). An example size of 1,200 respondents was obtained through a multi-stage random tasting method.

The margin of mistake was +/- 2.8%, with a self-confidence level of 95%. Data collection was performed through direct face-to-face interviews with respondents utilizing questionnaires.

Shock in Studies: TKN Chairman Thinks Ganjar-Mahfud Will Win 54% in the 2024 Presidential Election.

Chairman of the National Winning Team (TPN) for Ganjar-Mahfud, Arsjad Rasjid, advised all volunteer supporters of the third set of governmental and vice-presidential prospects not to think the study results. He shared confidence that Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md would certainly win with 54% of the enact the 2024 governmental political election, going beyond various other candidates with high electability.

" We have a target; we have to stay hopeful about winning 54%. Don't count on the numbers; do not be prevented by the numbers," claimed Arsjad during his speech at the progressive affirmation occasion for Ganjar-Mahfud on Friday, December 8, 2023.

He shared a tale about Ganjar's advocate Governor of Central Java, where Ganjar at first had reduced survey numbers contrasted to his challenger. Ganjar took care of to arise as the winner.

" When Mas Ganjar began his advocate guv, his numbers were at 8%, while Pak Bibit [his challenger] was already at 30%. Yet in the long run, Mas Ganjar ended up being the guv," Arsjad stated.

Arsjad called upon all volunteers to function together and creatively to make certain Ganjar-Mahfud's triumph in a single round in the 2024 presidential political election.

" We need to believe that we can win; winning in one round is our objective. It's my target, your target, and our shared target," Arsjad stressed.

He highlighted the limited time left for campaigning, with only 66 days staying. As a result, he prompted everyone to relocate onward with unity and imagination.